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1994-05-02
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76 lines
<text>
<title>
Poland: World Trade Outlook
</title>
<article>
<hdr>
World Trade Outlook 1992: Poland
Consumer Demand May Soar Once the Economy Recovers
</hdr>
<body>
<p>By Audrey Abraham Zuck
</p>
<p>Because of Poland's large domestic market and high regard for
U.S. products, the United States should at least match its 13
percent export growth in 1991. Once the Polish economy rebounds
from recession and incomes rise again, consumer demand for
American products could soar above the $458 million level of
last year.
</p>
<p>U.S. exports 1991--$458 million U.S. imports 1991--$357
million
</p>
<p> Poland is enduring a painful restructuring process. In 1991,
unemployment jumped to over 11 percent while gross national
product fell 8-10 percent. High inflation makes Polish exports
less competitive. In seeking to ease the pain of transition, the
new government is risking an inflationary budget deficit of 5
percent of GNP.
</p>
<p> These gloomy statistics mask the underlying dynamism of the
private sector, which accounts for 22 percent of industrial
output. The 1.6 million private firms in Poland now account for
80 percent of retail activity, 40 percent of imports, and 14
percent of exports. The private sector grew more than 12 percent
between June 1990 and June 1991, a time of economic contraction.
Roughly 25,000 new firms open monthly, creating around 70,500
new jobs. Private-sector jobs have grown from 5 to 45 percent
of non-agricultural employment.
</p>
<p> Because of the special affinity between Americans and Poles,
U.S. products are highly regarded. Best prospects include
telecommunications, food processing and packaging equipment,
computers, consumer goods, pollution control equipment,
airconditioning and refrigeration equipment, travel and tourism
services, and printing and graphic arts equipment.
</p>
<p> To spur U.S. involvement in foreign trade with Poland,
particularly by small- and medium-sized companies, the U.S.
government developed the American Business Initiative (ABI). The
American Business Center in Warsaw opened in March to provide
temporary office space and business services to the U.S.
business community. Five consortia of American businesses
received grants to open offices in Poland to offer trade
facilitation services in the country.
</p>
<p> In addition, the Overseas Private Investment Corporation, the
U.S. Export-Import Bank, and the Trade Development Program
operate in Poland. The Polish-American Enterprise Fund has
actively financed numerous projects in Poland, as have the World
Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
</p>
<p> The Commerce Department is expanding its trade promotion
activities in Poland. It will organize pavilions for U.S. firms
at the Poznan International Fair in June, Poland's largest trade
event, and at the Polagra Agri-Industrial Fair in October.
</p>
<p> For more information on business opportunities in Poland,
contact the Eastern Europe Business Information Center at (202)
482-2645.
</p>
<p>Source: International Trade Administration, Business America Magazine
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>